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Intro
What is inflation
changes in inflation incl. deflation (price of loaf of bread)
consumption baskets
What drives inflation? (different types of inflation)
size of Fed's balance sheet increasing
the Velocity of Money
Yellen on why no inflation
NAIRU
the Liquidity Trap
Who controls inflation
value of stocks depends on inflation; valuations highest around 2% inflation; equity de-rates either way
case of Zimbabwe
case of post-WWI Germany
hyperinflation helps/hinders if ...
Deflation
inflation 1870-1920
deflationary spiral
What to watch
FRED/Price Pressures Measure (PPM) index
PPM model description
BoE Monetary Policy report, fan charts
Forecasts
forecasts of NIESR (UK)
conclusions