Howard Morgan Co-Founder of Renaissance Technologies

Olaf Carlson-Wee Founder of Polychain Capital, formerly Coinbase

Norman Packard Founder of Prediction Company

Geoff Bradway VP of Engineering at Numerai, formerly Google DeepMind

Joey Krug Founder of Augur, Thiel Fellow

Yunus Saatchi Permutation Ventures, formerly Vicarious

Peter Diamandis Founder of X-Prize, Co-Founder of Singularity University

Richard Craib Founder of Numerai

The fine structure that you say that can’t be captured, does it just go away if you have a lot more parameters for the neural network?

Do you think feature selection is a very important thing to do well?

What is your best way to do feature selection? What do you think is sort of the state of the art of feature selection on Numerai?

In this age of TC, the question is what is good performance?

Are all features sort of inherently relative anyway?

I know people now have access to past meta model scores and I wanted to ask if people have had luck in using them in trying to pursue TC-based models and been able to make more sense out of TC now that they have access to past meta model scores.

What would be a perfect TC

Is there a solid suggestion there? Let’s say I build a model today, what can I do to see if it’s going to get TC, save submitting it and waiting? If I look at those meta model scores, and look at the residuals, and then the core leftover is good, would I then expect to get TC?

Do you think that if you are not getting good core, even negative core, that you’re just not going to get TC, or whatever TC you are getting is spurious and random? Or is the good core correlated with good TC just a subset of the good TC space?

Well I mean nomi, moving from a flat target to nomi Gaussian did that to some extent, right? So now you’re talking about doing that to our side as well?

Do you think that’s still a problem, maybe? Just a high dependence, if this feature, even if it’s non-linear, it’s just not behaving this week then there goes your model, in terms of robustness?

Numerai gives away all its data

What degrees do quants get?

Numerai's data set

Numerai's trading strategies

What do you do with the output of predictions?

Combining multiple models

How much money does Numerai make?

Square shoutout